22 September 2025
This article discusses the increasingly strident communications across different media - independent media and more and more mainstream too - on the state of the The Western Alliance, or "The Empire" if you prefer, ie America, Europe, The West broadly and the UK specifically.
1. Economic Exhaustion
The system is showing its age. Debt piles grow ever higher, competitiveness drains away, growth is minimal and zero in real terms, inflation threatens, new technologies are emerging elsewhere. What was once a confident, industrial manufacturing economy now seems tired and sluggish, once foreigners bought up its assets to safely store their wealth - government and corporate bonds, equities, quality real estate - but now governments and investors are losing confidence in western economies and currencies. Meanwhile, other nations outside the West are coordinating and leaping forward.
2. Social Strain
Inequalities deepen. Ordinary people feel left behind. Neighbours are on the streets, either in protest or in poverty. Immigration adds further pressure, feeding the breakdown in cohesion and pushing voters into the arms of populist parties considered extreme by mainstream politicians. The social contract is fraying and near breaking point.
3. Political Instability
Leadership changes come thick and fast. Prime ministers come and go amongst derision from the people as they fail in their missions. Public trust ebbs away. And behind it all, financial markets - the “bond vigilantes” - dictate terms, forcing governments to cut and retrench. We wonder who is really in charge, who is pushing for war and preventing global issues from being resolved?
4. Geopolitical Weakness
Across the globe, Western nations and the Empire appear diminished. In Ukraine, a nuclear superpower checks the West's eastward expansion, in the Middle East America and Israel cannot control the fires they have started, in East Asia America is considering advice to withdraw to the second island ring whilst simultaneously planning for a war over Taiwan in 2027. Meanwhile members of the global South / BRICS are working together on their futures.
Globalisation is reversing, the West is withdrawing, abandoning efficiency and integration, looking instead for security and resilience at home. Across the Atlantic, Washington lords it over its allies, Britain humiliatingly obeys, a client state in all but name. The people know that their leaders no longer serve national interests. Across the Channel, the UK’s economic ties still bind it to Europe, yet it has no voice at the table.
5. The Loss of Liberty
Here lies the most bitter irony. As citizens grow restless, taking to the streets to voice their anger, governments respond with careless force. Police patrol not only public squares but the private spaces of digital life. Social media posts are monitored, words are policed, and freedoms once taken for granted are curbed in the name of order and security. The state strengthens itself while weakening the liberty of those it claims to protect. They seem pre-programmed, these LPMs - Large Policing Models - trained on decades of demonstrations since the 1960s. Case in point - these two young police women seem lifeless, inhuman, critically un self-aware robotic:
6. The Fourth Turning Mood
The result is a society adrift: tired in economy, divided in society, unstable in politics, in retreat abroad, and ever more heavy-handed at home. The rule of law is disrespected by governments themselves, institutions are creaking, trust collapsing. Citizens mock and despise those who rule them but who can no longer protect them. This is what Strauss and Howe called the Fourth Turning - a moment of reckoning when the old globalist order can no longer hold out against the demands of its citizens for national sovereignty and personal freedom - leaders who will defend our nation are identity and our culture.
7. How will it all end - Reform, Revolution or War
If the state is unable to reform itself to reflect changes in the world around it (there are multiple centres of power rising these days, you cannot wacamole them all, progress will be through negotiation abroad and respect for one's own citizens at home) then the citizens will eventually step in to remove them from power; or the risk is that the state puts its country and its citizens into war with its neighbours, to distract from the mess at home for which it is responsible but for which it is unable to execute a strategy of reform.
