WILL AMERICA BOMB IRAN

12 April 2025

The Coming Storm Stealth bombers soar towards a smouldering Middle East, where fire, smoke and ruin mark the stakes of the next great war. Below them, gold and oil stand as symbols of what remains to be gained, or lost. A wide-angle glimpse into our geopolitical future: cold strategy, hot conflict, high stakes.

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1. The Historical Dialectic: Clash and Consequence

• Dialectic means a process where opposites (thesis and antithesis) clash to produce a new result (synthesis).
• History moves forward through these clashes. One empire rises, another pushes back. The conflict itself births the next phase.
• The Middle East is the arena for such a historical turning point.
• We are watching force meet counterforce. A combustible moment is taking shape.

2. Politicians and Power: The Psychology of the Elite

• Political leaders, especially in geopolitics, tend to be assertive, sometimes aggressive. They play for power, not peace.
• Once committed, it is hard to turn them back. Especially when their reputation, ideology, and legacy are on the line.
• They often “lock horns” rather than compromise. The longer the standoff, the higher the stakes—and the more likely war becomes.

3. The 'Seven Countries in Five Years' Doctrine

• Former US General Wesley Clark revealed a plan post-9/11: take out Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, and Iran.
• Netanyahu initiated this all that time ago, it is his "Greater Israel" plan, supported by AIPAC, and Condoleezza Rice echoed this vision: reshape the Middle East, toppling regimes hostile to Israeli-US interests.
• Iraq, Libya, Lebanon and Syria are already in ruins, NATO backed the overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi in 2011, Somalia is left as ever-shifting alliances, sporadic fighting, and foreign agendas. These are not stable countries, but theatres of permanent instability.
•  Iran is the final domino in the sequence: Armageddon.

4. The Military Buildup: Stealth and Signals

• Stealth bombers and fighter aircraft are massing at Garcia Diego, a strategic US base in the Indian Ocean.
• This is not a routine exercise. The logistics, flight patterns, and fleet makeup suggest strike readiness.
• Aircraft, drones, and naval assets are being repositioned, quietly but clearly.

5. Trump's Impossible Ultimatum to Iran

• The Trump administration gave Iran a list of seven demands so harsh they could never be accepted—short of regime suicide. Notably to stop re processing uranium and plutonium.
• These include ending all nuclear work, ceasing all support for regional allies, and full military transparency.
• The goal is not negotiation. It is the pretext for confrontation.

6. The Attack Blueprint: Shock and Collapse

• According to leaked doctrine, the plan is threefold:
  • Phase One: Destroy Iran’s air defence, radar, and communication systems.
  • Phase Two: Decapitate religious and military leadership through targeted strikes.
  • Phase Three: Leave the country open, like Syria, to insurgency, foreign control, and puppet governance.... Just walk in and take over.
• This is not a guess. This is consistent with past US war playbooks: Iraq, Libya, Syria.

7. Markets Are Not Fooled: Gold and the Whisper of War

• Gold prices have been heading to the moon this week, saw the highest price ever achieved. This is not just from inflation or interest rates, not only tariffs though they have been the trigger since 2 April, no, what's causing this is fear, fear.
• Smart money sees beyond headlines. They follow aircraft carriers, not press releases.
• Gold rises when risk rises. War risk, not just economic risk, is what we’re seeing now. China? The American debt crisis. Trade and the status of the reserve currency are at stake.

8. Can We Stop It? Probably Not. So Here's What You Can Do

• You cannot vote this away. You cannot tweet it away. Take to the streets, they'll bundle you into a transit van and put you in prison. The die is cast, the pieces are in motion.
• But you can prepare:
  • Move some capital into gold—history’s refuge in times of war and uncertainty. Forget crypto.
  • Keep an eye on oil—conflict in the Middle East often means surges in crude prices. Think 1967 > 1973.
  • Diversify out of markets that are overly exposed to peace and calm.
  • Putting my neck out, I would say get out of the US dollar.
  • Think not just money—but resilience: where you live, how you communicate, how dependent you are on fragile systems, barter and your support network.

9. Final Thought: This Is Not a Drill

• We’re not watching a war maybe about to happen. We’re watching the early minutes of a plan already unfolding.
• The Middle East will not be redrawn through diplomacy. The architects of this future use bombs, not ballots.
• This is how empires act at twiligh, lashing out to hold on.
• Glad you liked it. Here's a final paragraph in your style to close the post:

10. Stay Calm, Stay Ready

Don’t panic. War may be coming, but it’s not knocking at your front door yet.

Stay informed, stay alert, and don’t get swept up by media frenzy or online fear.

Prepare prudently, act deliberately, count to ten and keep your mind clear.

In uncertain times, calm is a currency. Spend it wisely.

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SEMITES FIGHTING

15 March 2024

Sitting in a coffee bar myself now. 

The irony is. Starbucks is supposedly every dollar you spend buys a bullet to put in a Palestinian's head.*

As you may know, Due and Palestinian have the same father, they are semites, they are brothers. Abraham (Ibrahim) is their father. He had two sons, from his two wives. Sarah, who was too old to have children, so he married Hajjar, a second wife.

Sarah did conceive! A little boy, Isaac. And so too did Hajar, another boy, Ismail.

Anyway, I am sitting in this café, listening to guitar music on the loudspeakers, it must be the oud, from the Middle East 

Then. Shazam reveals it is

https://letriojoubran.com/

A Palestinian trio. Ha ha, the irony is not lost. Even they are fighting over coffee shops!!

Maybe ... on the other hand, this is Ramadam and music of Middle Eastern origin is playing in all the stores, much like at Christmas you get wall-to-wall carols.

PS Palestinians have a good brain, every bit as good as their brother's ... as you would expect.

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THE TROUBLE WITH THE MIDDLE EAST

25 October 2023

Sunak, von Leyen, go to Jerusalem to show support for Netanyu's bombing of his concentration camp.

This is so disgusting! This is one of those rare ocassions where ordinary people - well, me - would take to the streets.

It is so hugely outrageous and really difficult to understand. They should be supporting Guetteres and not Netanyahu. Israel should be blackballed by the West.

What does this do for our global standing?

This is a phase in the West's history where its fear of decline is blinding it to reason. The West has taken off its thinking cap, enlightenment Europe is stupidly following the idiot leadership in Washington. It is not even following its emotions, it is more a primeval, reptilian, response.

It was France that led us out of the dark ages intellectually speaking with its revolutionary values and its creation, practically-speaking, of the nation state. France was a beacon to the world, shining these modern ideas from Europe.

And yet look at that twat Macron, there's no other word for him, he goes to Israel and confirms that the priority is the release of Israeli hostages. This is really foolish and if enacted would get this conflict absolutely nowhere -  releasing the hostages is the very last thing to do, only once there is enactament of peace and justice.

The Israeli state is a fait accompli, a historical fact, but bombing its Arab citizens out of existence, or pushing them into the desert or the sea, is completely and totally unacceptable - it's ethnic cleansing, it's genocide ... call it what you want.

The Israelis are hysterical as usual because all this has happened to them before and anyway they are a people from the scorched and ever-shifting sands of the Middle East, they are all the same: highly emotional, overheated, raging, blind....extreme heat and unrelenting sun can generate emotions like frustration and irritability, emotions that overwhelm. 

Try to imagine the relief that the shade of a man's hand brings when the temperature is 50° - this is a story from the Bible incidentally, it's a story we living in cooler climes have difficulty in relating to but if you've ever lived there, you'll understand why these people can be so rabid and why Islam was the true "final solution" and why ordinary Muslims are generally the most peaceful people on earth. 

But here we are following them in their hysteria where we should be calming them down and taking issue with them and putting them on a path which would avoid a major conflagration.

This is Zionism that is responsible, this idea of a greater Israel from the Jordan to the Mediterranean, of a completely false idea of a land with no people for a people with no land. To condemn Zionism is not being anti-semitic or jewophobic it is to condemn a nasty and pernicious ideology and condemn a government that is driven by this racist thinking. Jews everywhere should be ashamed of Netanyahu and the extreme orthodox right.

If there are three rules in life for finding the truth and a way firward, the first is to chuck away all ideologies (not easy) (religeon is an ideology btw). Zionism is an understandable response to the pogroms, but it is still a very nasty "ism" that wouldn't last five minutes if it were freely debated in public, in Europe today.

https://youtu.be/zUuOayK9lb8?si=PkE1-PmWioaew5rb

And to that video, this three-star general that is helping the Israeli government plan its ground offensive. Well there are apparently about 48 four and five star generals these days in America's DoD, whereas the last war was won by eight such generals. I seem to recall this from a Mearsheimer.

And as to these tunnels. I have no idea, but I would imagine that the heavy bombing is an exercise producing seismic information that would allow a pretty clear mapping of The Tunnels and then just rolling down damn-buster type bombs through them would collapse them, I would imagine.

And yeah all the longer term health consequences of blowing apart buildings full of toxic castinogens or all that depleted uranium and all the other stuff, it  isn't exactly good for nature and the environment - these are really stupid people we are dealing with, stupid in the Ekhart Tolle sense of not being in tune with the universe.

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HAMAS V ISRAEL - WILL THE CYCLE OF VIOLENCE TRANSFER TO OUR STREETS TOO?

15 October 2023

Well this is what we were talking about before : there's no evidence of any protests in France, which is a little bit surprising considering its connections to N Africa, its substantial muslim popn, its recent history of Charlie Hebdo massacre

 so maybe there are protests, it's just that they're not being reported, ie they are censored or supressed

So the question raised by your video is what will be the effect of the conflict in the Middle East on the streets of Edinburgh, Paris and London?

There is an obligation on Macron and the politicians in France to pursue policies of peace and justice - is this is what they are doing?

Britain's politicians are sending out warships to support Israel. Is this very smart? 

what the  politicians need is a refined sense of the practical. Practical means solutioning the problem.

Does sending warships out to support Israel solution this problem? I don't think so 

At the moment, they are saying in the same breath that Israel's right to defend itself is also its right to revenge. This is madness.

Obviously with or without Britain's help, Israel can destroy most of Hama but at what price to itself - the body bags, in the eyes of the international community which is no longer just the West ; 

and what will its own citizens make of what are evidently war crimes when you cut off supplies to an entire population and attempt genocide or deportation.

And anyway even if Israel does succeed in killing every last member of Hamas, what will this really achieve? Their children will grow up and fight the same fight as their fathers'. It happens every few years already. Perhaps they'll organise under a different name.

This is what happens when you do not have peace and justice.

It's the duty of politicians to serve the interests of their publics. Is Britain really serving the interests of the Brits by supporting this murderous regime and is Israel really furthering its own interests? Its primary concern is security. Does this help it along the road to a more secure Israel? Same same us in the UK. Same in France.

Hence the need for gifted politicians and diplomacy - what will force achieve if not repeat the cycle of violence?

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