Showing posts with label #SocialPolicy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #SocialPolicy. Show all posts

Monday, 12 May 2025

CARE CRISIS AFTER IMMIGRANT CARE WORKER BAN

12 May 2025

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/social-care-visa-immigration-government-b2749180.html

Bold talk on immigration, but behind the numbers lies a quiet cruelty: the government has chosen to cut the care workforce — the least likely to protest, and the most vital to our dignity.


1. Overview of the Policy Change

The UK government, under Sir Keir Starmer, has introduced major immigration reforms targeting the care sector. At the heart of these changes is the decision to close off the Health and Care Worker visa route to new overseas applicants. This visa had previously allowed care providers to recruit non-UK staff to help fill critical gaps in the workforce. The new policy forms part of Labour's broader ambition to reduce legal migration figures and push employers to hire and train British workers instead. But critics argue this comes at a cost the care system cannot afford.


2. Impact on the Social Care Sector

Social care in the UK is already fragile, marked by chronic understaffing, rising costs, and a long-standing recruitment crisis. In 2023–24 alone, around 105,000 international workers were hired to support adult care — a vital contribution that helped reduce vacancy rates slightly. Removing access to the overseas visa route now risks reversing this progress. The government’s own estimates suggest there will be at least 7,000 fewer care workers. Meanwhile, the broader sector faces over 131,000 vacancies, with projections indicating the need for an additional 540,000 staff by 2040. Providers warn that the gap will be unfillable without continued access to international labour.


3. Reactions from Sector Leaders

Care leaders have sounded the alarm. Dr Jane Townson, head of the Homecare Association, called the policy "a brutal reality", warning that more homecare providers will close. She argues that the government’s failure to consult frontline professionals, coupled with rising employer costs and underfunding, will leave elderly and disabled people without safe and dignified care. Nadra Ahmed of the National Care Association compared the situation to the post-Brexit collapse of care resilience. She even questioned whether the government was deliberately running the sector into the ground in order to pave the way for nationalisation - an unusual criticism aimed at a Labour government.


4. Broader Criticism of Government Strategy

Critics describe the government’s approach as “whack-a-mole” - constantly reacting to crises without long-term strategy. Lucinda Allen of the Health Foundation said the policy demonstrates the government’s “limited understanding” of the care system’s structure, financing, and needs. With no new funding or incentives to recruit domestic workers, and with rising wage and insurance obligations for employers, care companies are left exposed. Unison's general secretary, Christina McAnea, noted that both the NHS and social care would have collapsed years ago without foreign staff, and warned the new policy dangerously ignores this reality.


5. Government’s Justification

Ministers defend the move by pointing to national migration figures and the need to train a domestic workforce. Home Secretary Yvette Cooper said employers should not depend on low-paid migration but instead improve pay and training for local workers. The government expects the changes to cut net migration by 50,000 per year. However, no replacement plan has been offered to address the immediate gap in care provision, nor any funding pledge to support workforce development - raising fears of a looming collapse in services already stretched to the brink.


6. Glossary of Terms

Health and Care Worker Visa: A visa introduced in 2021 allowing non-UK citizens to work in health and social care roles.

Net Migration: The difference between people entering and leaving a country within a given time period.

Whack-a-mole approach: A term for tackling individual problems as they arise without addressing root causes or creating long-term solutions.

Nationalisation: Bringing a sector or industry under state ownership or control, often following the collapse or failure of private provision.


7. Conclusion

The Labour government’s decision to close off the care visa route may achieve a reduction in migration figures, but at what cost? The policy risks accelerating the breakdown of a care system already on its knees. Without urgent investment, planning, or a viable domestic recruitment strategy, providers warn that the elderly and vulnerable will be the ones who suffer. Many now fear this is not just a policy misstep, but a fundamental failure to recognise the scale of the crisis. Social care, once again, appears to be treated as a political afterthought — until it’s your own family who needs it.

8. Policy review: This is a Numbers Cynically Targeting Care Workers

The decision to target care workers within this immigration crackdown appears not just careless, but calculated. Among the various migrant labour categories in the UK - from construction engineers to agricultural pickers, from software developers to domestic staff in wealthy households - the government has chosen to hit one of the least politically powerful groups: overseas care workers.

The rationale is brutally simple. Ministers need to bring down net migration figures. But they must do so in a way that avoids backlash from business leaders, the middle classes, or university sectors. Foreign cleaners in elite homes? Untouchable. Skilled tech workers or logistics drivers? Too essential. But care workers - largely invisible, working-class, often racialised - present a soft target. Their clients, elderly and disabled people, don’t typically march on Westminster.

Yet demand for care is inelastic. When providers shut, when workers are priced out or cut off, people don’t suddenly stop needing help with bathing, mobility, or dementia support. The result is simple economics: prices will rise. What we call “closures” will in practice become a dual-tier system, where the affluent continue receiving care - at a premium - and others are left to struggle, deteriorate, rely on overwhelmed family members or choose to send their elderly offshore to foreign lands with inexpensive high quality care facilities such as are found in Southeast Asia.

This policy, then, is not just short-sighted. It is structurally cruel. It chooses political optics over societal function. It speaks to an underlying cynicism in the current government: win points on migration, even if it means letting the vulnerable slip through the cracks.

The deeper fear, voiced quietly in sector circles, is whether this is part of a longer-term game: allow the private market to collapse under labour scarcity and cost pressure, then Labour intervenes - not out of compassion, but to rebuild it as a nationalised or outsourced hybrid model under stricter state control. Alternatively, the sector gets slowly financilised i.e. slowly falls into the hands of private or quoted equity for example REITS. If true, we are not witnessing a policy failure, but a slow, deliberate dismantling, absent a strategy of compassion for a growing section of the population.


References:

  • The Independent, 11 May 2025
  • Skills for Care, Workforce Reports 2024
  • The Health Foundation
  • Financial Times
  • Unison Press Briefing

[END]

Friday, 9 May 2025

THE OPPORTUNITY COSTS OF ASYLUM ACCOMMODATION SPENDING IN THE UK

9 May 2025

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/05/07/true-cost-of-asylum-hotels-migration-channel-labour/ 



A government minister thwarted by the obligation to house asylum seekers and migrants, arising from domestic UK law, international treaties, and human rights frameworks. "More fool us" is the public response - and they vote in "populist" candidates in consequence, radicalising the politics of the country in ways this Minister does not appreciate and complains about. This major government program is undertaken without parliamentary approval of even scrutiny - and when the Supreme Court gets a hold of this subject, could it lead to civil war... causa belli civilis?

The Opportunity Costs of Asylum Accommodation Spending

As the government continues to spend over £5.5 million per day housing asylum seekers in UK hotels, it’s time to look beyond the headline figures and ask: what else could that money have done?

There are direct opportunity costs - what public services and investments were assigned lower priority below asylum seeker support - and also indirect opportunity costs, like distortions in the hotel market caused by block-booking rooms for migrant accommodation.

This isn’t about blaming the individuals seeking refuge. It’s about questioning the efficiency, fairness, and long-term consequences of the current policy. Ultimately, only a Publilc Inquiry will establish truth and permit justice and fairness.


1. Direct Opportunity Costs

Healthcare
Funds allocated to asylum accommodation could have gone to the NHS, reducing waiting times, improving patient care, and easing the burden on overworked staff.

Education
Resources could have supported schools: hiring more teachers, reducing class sizes, and fixing buildings in disrepair.

Universal Credit
With £5 billion in benefit cuts on the table, that same money allocated to asylum seekers, could support vulnerable British families instead.

Pensioners
Winter Fuel Allowance cuts could have been avoided, ensuring older citizens don’t have to choose between heating and eating.

Affordable Housing
Investment in social housing would help ease the housing crisis, giving more families a secure roof over their heads, especially the local homeless with residency qualifications of, say, five years or more.

Local Infrastructure
From potholes to public transport, basic services in many communities are underfunded while hotel bills rack up.

Job Creation & Small Businesses
That £15 billion over 10 years could have seeded local job schemes or supported SMEs to grow and hire.


2. Indirect Opportunity Costs

Hotel Rack Rates
The government’s large-scale block booking of hotel rooms has tightened supply, especially in budget and mid-range segments. With supply constrained and little incentive for the private sector to invest in building a temporary stock, prices for ordinary travellers have risen. Ordinary travellers means tourists, business and personal.

Availability Pressure
UK residents, including families booking domestic holidays or workers needing temporary stays, now face reduced availability and higher prices - this is another hidden cost.

Distorted Market Signals
Hotel owners may be adapting to government contracts instead of market demand, potentially warping local tourism and hospitality development over the longer term.


Conclusion

When we talk about the cost of asylum accommodation, it’s not just a figure in a Treasury spreadsheet. It’s classrooms unfunded, nurses un-hired, pensioners unprotected - and yes, a rising cost to everyone who needs a hotel room.

This appears to be another amoral policy of dither and can-kicking, it is not only unsustainable, but makes no sense economically. We need a better way, one that respects justice and fairness, delivers value for money, honours our obligations, and doesn’t punish the people who are in reality footing the bill.

A Public Inquiry is needed.



3. Why the UK’s Asylum Hotel Policy Deserves a Public Inquiry

The UK is currently spending £5.5 million per day housing asylum seekers in hotels. Over a decade, this may cost £15 billion — and yet, there’s been no public inquiry into how this policy was designed, whether it is efficient, and what its long-term consequences might be.

Here’s why that needs to change.

 


3a. The Sheer Scale of Spending

This is one of the largest unplanned public expenditure programs in peacetime Britain, and more than many entire government departments. Yet it’s been rolled out with minimal scrutiny.

A public inquiry is needed to examine whether this spending represents value for money, or whether it's a case of policy panic and fire-fighting without a plan.


3b. Secrecy Around Contracts

Government deals with hotel chains and outsourcing giants are opaque. Rates paid per room, contract durations, and performance clauses are not disclosed.

There are increasing concerns about cronyism, sweetheart deals, and a lack of competitive bidding. A public inquiry will bring transparency to exactly where public money is going and why.


3c. Hidden Economic Side Effects

The government’s bulk hotel bookings have had knock-on effects on the rest of the economy:

  • Hotel rack rates have risen

  • Supply of affordable short-term accommodation has tightened

  • The tourism, business travel and personal events sectors are being distorted.

These indirect opportunity costs are rarely mentioned, yet they affect the public just as much. A public inquiry will explore this neglected dimension.


3d. No Local Consultation

Local authorities and communities are often excluded from decision-making. Hotels are block-booked in towns with no input from councillors or residents.

This has led to resentment, public protests, accusations of non-accountability, and a inevitably cynicism, breakdown in trust and a widening gulf between electors and the elected. A public inquiry will assess how the policy affects local social cohesion and citizens' well-being, and how it is that decisions could be made without democratic oversight.


3e. Signs of Mismanagement

Reports from the National Audit Office, whistleblowers, and the press describe:

  • No long-term housing plan

  • Ballooning costs and profiteering

  • Poor or unsafe conditions for asylum seekers

  • Lack of progress on case processing.

A public inquiry is the only forum with the scope and independence to determine whether this is mismanagement or simply fatal inevitable consequence.


3f. There Is Precedent

Public inquiries have been launched into:

  • Grenfell Tower (a housing safety failure)

  • The Iraq War (foreign policy decision-making)

  • The COVID-19 response (public health planning).

All involved less money, and arguably no greater chaos. The asylum hotel policy clearly meets or exceeds that threshold test.


3g. Final Conclusion

When billions are spent behind closed doors, with real knock-on consequences for downgraded public services, housing, and community cohesion, the public has a right to answers.

This isn’t about demonising asylum seekers. It’s about demanding honest governance, value for money, and long-term solutions over short-term dithering, obfuscation, can-kicking and panic.

A public inquiry is not just justified. A public inquiry is overdue.