Sunday, 4 July 2021

MERCANTILISM & CAPITALISM

What Is Mercantilism and How Does It Compare To Capitalism?


The colonies could only trade with the England, the mother country.

You may have seen the word "mercantilism" floating around in the Trump-era news. But what is mercantilism, and why is it still relevant?

The answer is trade wars, Brexit and the UK nation's fight with the EU (Germany's empire).

1. What Is Mercantilism?

Mercantilism is an economic philosophy built around exports and trade.

A mercantilist economy tries to increase its wealth by maximizing exports and minimizing imports. This school of thought teaches that there is a limited amount of wealth in the world and all nations compete against for it. Exports make an economy richer because they bring money in. Imports make competitors richer at the economy's expense. It's a zero-sum game.

The logic of mercantilism makes trade a zero-sum transaction in which exporters have an advantage over importers. To increase their wealth and power, mercantile nations rely on tariffs, outsize trade leverage and military power to maximize their trade balance of payments. They want to ensure that the nation remains a net-exporter.

As a school of thought mercantilism is highly associated with specie (gold and silver coins) currency. This is because specie, or "hard money," economies have a fixed amount of currency in circulation. Unlike fiat currencies (digital and folding money), the more gold an economy spends the less it has. This aligns with mercantilism's belief that trade and wealth are fixed resources for which nations compete.

This belief is one of the theory's greatest weaknesses. It is by definition impossible for both parties in a trade agreement to be net exporters. As a result, mercantilism depends on a relationship in which one nation wins and the other loses. This relationship lends itself either to an involuntary trade relationship or to trade wars in which both nations mutually ratchet up tariffs, at first anyway.

Mercantilism dominated economic thought in Europe from the 16th through the 18th centuries. During this era, European nations often used military power to ensure markets for their exports, as a mercantile trade relationship is almost always a net-negative for at least one trading partner and because mercantilist nations often saw military and economic power as inextricably linked. It entered its decline as a dominant philosophy in the 19th century.

2. Why Is Mercantilism Relevant today?

Mercantilism is President Donald Trump's foundational business belief upon which he conducted U.S. trade negotiations. It is also the EU's upon which it built its Fortress Europe. So it is interesting to see Global Brexit and how this clash of philosophies will develop.

A mercantilist "loses" the money that it spends importing foreign goods and materials. A strong economy is one that runs a trade surplus. Money spent on imports enriches foreign competitors at the expense of the nation's businesses and workers. And thus, misnomered Free Trqde Agreements will be unequal since the empire will use its larger market power, there will be tariffs to slow down purchases of foreign products and  favour domestic production.

This is mercantilism, and it is at odds with global trade.

3  What Is Capitalism?

Capitalism is an economic philosophy built around competition and productivity.

In capitalism, most property and tools of production are held in private hands. The government may produce a range of goods and services for general consumption, but this role is typically limited. The default position for a capitalist economy is that, unless otherwise specified, a given product or service will be produced and marketed by private individuals using privately-held wealth.

Under capitalism, prices are set by competition in the free market, largely the result of supply and demand. When demand increases relative to supply, producers will create more supply or up their prices. When demand falls, market prices will adjust down.

The logic of capitalism is built around productivity and the idea that wealth can increase over time. This was the idea that Adam Smith introduced. Modern capitalism descends from Smith's theory that a nation's wealth does not come from its holdings of currency but from the sum of goods and services that it produces. What's more, this pool of wealth can grow over time. By increasing productivity a nation can produce more goods and services and increase its total sum of wealth.

4. What Is Comparative Advantage?

Comparative advantage is in many ways capitalism's answer to mercantilism.

This is a theory of international trade which teaches that trade and wealth are not zero-sum competitions. Rather, comparative advantage holds that trade partners can both increase their net wealth even though one will necessarily run a trade deficit against the other.

Under comparative advantage, each nation specializes in what it can produce better or more cheaply than its trading partners. This increases the net amount of goods and services produced within the trading bloc, increasing the overall wealth among those nations.

Comparative advantage holds that the lessons of a free market apply on a global scale. Among individuals within a free market economy, competition will generally drive them to work in fields at which they're best. The same holds true of nations. Without artificial barriers to trade, each nation will produce more of what it's best at, enriching everyone.

5. Example of Mercantilism

Let's say 'Empire' takes a classic mercantile trading posture toward 'Nation.' Under this philosophy, Empire will try to maximize the amount of money it collects and retains from foreign trade. It will view every dollar spent on a Nation product as lost because that dollar went out to another country.

As a result, Empire will erect trade barriers such as tariffs, regulatory hurdles and outright embargoes designed to reduce imports from Nation as much as possible. At the same time, it will try to export as much as possible to Nation, often by subsidizing export firms and clearing regulatory hurdles. Empire doesn't want Nation to erect the same kind of tariffs and obstacles that it erected because it wants trade to flow only one way.

Since this is an inherently unfair trading relationship, Empire will typically have to use political, military or outsize market pressure to ensure that Nation's markets stay open while Empire keeps its markets closed.

6. Example of Traditional Capitalism

Nation has a capitalist economy. This economy will look much like the one readers are familiar with in most western states.

Most goods and services in the marketplace of Nation will be produced by private citizens. Those citizens will own their own capital, the money and resources used to produce goods and services on the market. They will decide what to produce and how much of it based on perceived needs in the marketplace and will set prices based on supply and demand.

The government of Nation will have some role as a market actor. Since this is a market of individuals incentivized by profit, the government will typically have to exercise significant oversight to prevent abuses. This will involve regulation to prevent predictable or repeat problems. The government will also typically provide desirable goods and services that the free market doesn't tend to efficiently provide on its own. This will classically include education, police and fire protection, and possibly health care.

7. Example of Comparative Advantage

America trades with Vietnam in a hypothetical relationship.

As a high-skill economy, American companies are excellent at producing valuable products and services, but not cheaply. Even a minimum wage worker in the U.S. is expensive by some global standards. Most workers in the country, given the nation's education and business infrastructure, are extremely expensive.

As a developing economy, Vietnamese firms are not as good at producing high-skill products but can produce large volumes of work quite cheaply. Most workers in Vietnam can work for a small fraction of the cost of a U.S. employee due to a combination of skill, availability and currency.

In a clothing-related trade deal, American companies could import shirts from Vietnam. This trade deal would allow U.S. firms to design patterns and the technology for printing them, to take advantage of the U.S.' skill advantage. It would allow Vietnamese firms to mass-produce the physical garments, to take advantage of Vietnam's inexpensive labor pool. The result is that both markets increase their total wealth: Vietnam gets a net trade surplus and American consumers get more shirts for less money.

8. Is Capitalism Better Than Mercantilism?

Capitalism and capitalist trade theory is generally considered both more accurate and more stable than mercantilism. Mercantilism has two core problems that have made it an unreliable form of economic theory.

First, as noted above, mercantilism relies on inherently unfair trade balances and trade practices. Mercantile nations depend on being able to erect barriers in their own economies without their trading partners doing the same. In the long run this is an unstable situation, because peer nations rarely willingly concede to economic subservience. For this reason mercantilism has historically been intertwined with trade wars and military adventurism.

Second, also as noted above, mercantilism relies on an archaic and inaccurate view of wealth. This is a school of thought wedded to gold standard philosophy, one in which wealth is measured by currency and is a zero-sum quantity.

Modern economics considers currency a measure of wealth rather than a form of it. It is how nations interact with and trade their productivity, but the real wealth of nations is measured by the goods and services that currency gives access to. This is a fluid sum. As an economy grows through population and technology, it can produce more for all of its participants. This positive-sum reality of wealth undermines the core tenet of mercantilism

Tuesday, 29 June 2021

THE CULTURE WE'VE CREATED

Increasingly cynical. Most people - doctors, teachers, furloughed ... - have taken the opportunities offered by leaders who seek only to minimise risk, to avoid work. The state takes over responsibility for everyone and there's no personal incentive left. Just irresponsible workshy.

We've also created the metoo and "it's all about me" and overly-woke selfishness, with disregard of the other.

That's the culture we've created.

This fuss and expense to protect people who are from the past, at the expense of present workers' production and future generations' wellbeing.

What will historians make of the blue-glove strata?

Sunday, 27 June 2021

LOOK AT WHAT'S HAPPENING : “Vos papiers s’il vous plaît!”.

Here is what we've seen during the pandemic : where does it take us ?


Theres been Boris’s spending spree, his net zero agenda and the housing shortage.

What dont we Brits like? ID cards, a govt that tells us what to think or wear, officials who interfere with our choice of partner.

What's happening next? digital IDs connecting health and financial data; bitcoin tracking all or incomes and expenses as the basis for a social credits scheme; well be tracked using our phone signals ("contact tracing" of course); travel bans at the first sign of a new virus to encourage spending at home; furlough and massive state support through every economic downturn;  work from home orders, remote schooling and lockdowns for a bad flu season to “save the NHS”; the national debt will reach Italian amounys ; but no tax reform or supply-side tax cuts ; definitely no shrink the state.

We used to assume that if it wasnt forbidden, it was allowed ; now we go go snivelling to see if we can. What we are sering is a rapid and petmanent loss of individual freedom, in favour of collective-thinking ; with a loss I'd guess of entrepreneurship and dare-do and innovation (science) - already The Woke is shutting down ambition and achievement for irrelevent moral considerations of so-called white supremacy.

With inflation following these stimuli and interest rate ruses following inflation, we risk losing our currency and seeing mass poverty.

Perhaps the most serious is the stabdardisation of education ; with grade inflation, devaluing exams replaced with tezchers' personal assessments and consequent corruption.


FREE TRADE - HOW IT WORKS

How does free trade actually work?


There were three groups in the capitalist system in Ricardo’s world (and there still are):

Workers / Employees

Capitalists / Employers

Rentiers / Landowners / Landlords / other skimmers, who are just trading, speculating, taking out of the system, not contributing to its success.


Identifying the unproductive group at the top of society didn’t go down too well.

They needed a new economics to hide the discoveries of the classical economists -  "neoclassical economics".

It confuses making money and creating wealth, which hides rentier activity in the economy.

Rentiers make money, they don’t create wealth.


What does this mean for free trade?


The interests of the capitalists and rentiers are opposed with free trade.

This nearly split the Tory Party in the 19th century over the Repeal of the Corn Laws.

The rentiers gains push up the cost of living.

The capitalists want a low cost of living as they have to pay wages.


The UK knew how to prepare for free trade in the 19th century because they used classical economics.

The wider West didn’t how to prepare for free trade in the 20th century because they used neoclassical economics.


How did the UK prepare to compete in a free trade world in the 19th century?

They had the Empire to get in cheap raw materials; there were no regulations and no taxes on employees.

It was all about the cost of living, and they needed to get that down so they could pay internationally competitive wages.

UK labour would cost the same as labour anywhere else in the world.


Disposable income = wages – (taxes + the cost of living)

Employees get their money from wages and the employers pay the cost of living through wages, COGS reducing profit.


Ricardo supported the Repeal of the Corn Laws to get the price of bread down.

They housed workers in slums to get housing costs down.

Employers could then pay internationally competitive wages and were ready to compete in a free trade world.

That's the idea. You level the playing field first; then you engage in free trade.


Of course, that’s why it’s so expensive to get anything done in the West.

It’s our high cost of living.

Disposable income = wages – (taxes + the cost of living)

Employees get their money from wages and the employers pay the cost of living through wages, reducing profit.

Off-shore from the West ASAP to maximise profit.

The cost of living is way too high.

The cost of living is too high? Brexit will drive those costs even higher because your pound is now worth less.


It's just knowing how things really work.

Housing costs should be kept low to make you internationally competitive.


Ricardo was part of the new capitalist class, and the old landowning class were a huge problem with their rents that had to be paid both directly and through wages.

“The interest of the landlords is always opposed to the interest of every other class in the community” Ricardo 1815 / Classical Economist

What does our man on free trade, Ricardo, mean?


Disposable income = wages – (taxes + the cost of living)

Employees get their money from wages and the employers pay the cost of living through wages, reducing profit.

Employees get less disposable income after the landlords rent has gone.

Employers have to cover the landlord’s rents in wages reducing profit.

Ricardo is just talking about housing costs, employees all rented in those days.

Low housing costs work best for employers and employees.


Of course, employees get their money from wages and it is the UK’s employers that are paying high housing costs in wages reducing profit.


WHICH WASHING MACHINE

Want to buy British?

I did some research and replaced my washing machine with the British made Ebac which was far superior and comes with a factory seven years parts and labour warranty and option of both hot and cold fill which means a quicker wash, less wear, cheaper etc.

Saturday, 19 June 2021

TRADITIONAL V. MODERN CONSERVATISM

The lockdowns have served well the political ambitions of those in power by muting channels for dissent. Of course, lockdowns have also saved many tens of thousands of lives. But, never let a crisis go to waste. There's a feeling that we are victims of a conspiracy to silence and mislead us and divert our attention towards covid and away from this PM's political agenda.

We see Boris with his 80 seat majority taking the opportunity to push people around 'for their own good', occupying us all with complex, ever-changing, incoherent covid rules, demanding our compliance, while he pushes through the reforms he personally wants to be known for.

We are not just talking about building hundreds of thousands of homes in southerners' back yards. We are talking about a one-nation Conservatism that looks to many Conservatives like Marxism for its top-down focus on "big society" at the expense of the individual - we lose our voice, our freedom, protest becomes a difficult affair, illegal even, they shut down regions, put up barricades, visit us in our homes, subject us to frequent testing. For what?

We are talking about very considerable increases in state spending, keeping interest rates near zero to dominate the "independent" central bank and market economy, with little regard to value or cost-benefits, that many Conservatives see as Big Socialist State.

We are talking about signing up to massive programs to combat climate change, where many wonder how on earth we can get such long-range programs right if we can't even get next week's weather right.

We are talking about capturing the black sheep of the red wall while taking loyal Conservatives and their needs for granted.

We are looking at, effectively, a one-party state, with Boris everywhere to be seen, taking over the commanding heights of the economy, the institutions, disregarding Parliament and law Lords, changing, menacing, the unity of the Kingdom without consent.

None of this feels like classic, traditional Conservatism.

I'm beginning to think what is happening should be seen through a different lens. Where is it going? What is it leading to?


Sunday, 13 June 2021

LIFE AFTER LOCKDOWN - WHEN WILL WE BE FREE AGAIN?

Covid-19 is a coronavirus, the flu is also a coronavirus, but I wouldn't call covid-19 "the flu".

To be practical rather than purist, as I understand things, everyone who wants to be vaccinated will be by September. So this seems to be a a date everyone can ink into their calendars.

Thereafter, and maybe before, people who've had two jabs don't need to wear a mask, nor keep social distancing, nor practise frequent hand washing.

They don't need to get checked before or after travel provided destinations are up to speed on these reg.s, nor quarantine or self-isolate.

Unless they have signs of infection, because though they'll likely be fine, they should think about refuseniks and people with weakened immune systems.

It also seems apparent that kids under six can take care of themselves without a vaccination.

Of course, Public Health will be on the lookout for variants that could undo all this, so cannot promise no further lockdowns, although annual boosters should deal with variants too.

This is life when everyone's vaccinated and covid-19 passes into the background of viruses that are endemic.This is from the Autumn. The tussle between health and economy will continue till then I guess.

SENDING TOULOUSE SAUSAGES TO PARIS

 It seems that Macron did not suggest that Northern Ireland was not part of the UK, but simply that Northern Ireland is a separate country. The position as to this is not obvious at all. For at least some purposes, the United Kingdom is not so much a country, but a union consisting of two countries (England and Scotland), a principality (Wales, albeit that the local government of Wales now asserts that Wales is a country in its own right) and a province (Northern Ireland, albeit that purists note that Ulster is, or was, a province, and that only six of Ulster’s nine counties are in Northern Ireland, the other three being in the Republic of Ireland). Northern Ireland plays football, and many other sports, as a separate country. Like Scotland, it has its own national laws which are different from those of England and Wales. If the separate parts of the United Kingdom insist on referring to themselves as separate countries, it is hardly surprising that Macron does the same.There are serious issues at stake in relation to the Northern Ireland protocol, but this is not one of them.

Thursday, 10 June 2021

template

Sunday, 6 June 2021

TIS NOT TOO LATE TO SEEK A NEWER WORLD

https://youtu.be/ptqoSZgh7q8

https://poems.poetrysociety.org.uk/poems/ulysses/

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ulysses_(poem)

The two pieces in the poem that I especially appreciated:

"I am a part of all that I have met;
Yet all experience is an arch wherethrough
Gleams that untravelled world, whose margin fades
For ever and for ever when I move."

"We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven; that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield."

The first piece was used in Skyfall.

It's the story of Ulysses, retold by Tenysson.
Ulysses the adventurer, thirsty for experience and knowledge, is contrasted to his son, Telemachus, an excellent leader and king, bringing peace and stability to his people.

That's how I read the poem. Here is James Navé giving the best reading I've found.

https://youtu.be/FknHtLjwLjY

James Navy reading the poem very nicely.

You don't have to understand all! to appreciate the rhythm and meter (there's no rhyme).

It is a poem written in what's called "blank verse", which is unrhymed iambic pentameter, and as near as you can get to natural speech.

Why write in iambic pentameter? It is the most popular structure for writing poetry. Created by Shakespeare to help his actors memorise their lines.

THE SONNET


example-shakespearean-sonnet

When writing a Shakespearean-style sonnet. ...This form of poetry is required to follow a specific format including length, rhythm, and rhyme scheme. To write a sonnet properly, follow this process (from "poetry for dummies"):

  1. Select a subject to write your poem about (Shakespearean sonnets are traditionally grounded as love poems).
  2. Write your lines in iambic pentameter (duh-DUH-duh-DUH-duh-DUH-duh-DUH-duh-DUH.
  3. Write in one of various standard rhyme schemes (Shakespearean, Petrarchan, or Spenserian).
  4. Format the sonnet using 3 quatrains followed by 1 couplet.
  5. Compose your sonnet as an argument that builds up as it moves from one metaphor to the next.
  6. Ensure your poem is exactly 14 lines.

The Shakespearean rhyme scheme

If you’re writing the most familiar kind of sonnet, the Shakespearean, the rhyme scheme is as follows:

A
B
A
B

C
D
C
D

E
F
E
F

G
G

Every A rhymes with every A, every B rhymes with every B, and so forth. You’ll notice this type of sonnet consists of three quatrains (that is, four consecutive lines of verse that make up a stanza or division of lines in a poem) and one couplet (two consecutive rhyming lines of verse).

How a sonnet tells a story

Ah, but there’s more to a sonnet than just the structure of it. A sonnet is also an argument — it builds up a certain way. And how it builds up is related to its metaphors and how it moves from one metaphor to the next. In a Shakespearean sonnet, the argument builds up like this:

  • First quatrain: An exposition of the main theme and main metaphor.

  • Second quatrain: Theme and metaphor extended or complicated; often, some imaginative example is given.

  • Third quatrain: Peripeteia (a twist or conflict), often introduced by a “but” (very often leading off the ninth line).

  • Couplet: Summarizes and leaves the reader with a new, concluding image.

One of Shakespeare’s best-known sonnets, Sonnet 18, follows this pattern:

Shall I compare thee to a summer’s day?
Thou art more lovely and more temperate.
Rough winds do shake the darling buds of May,
And summer’s lease hath all too short a date.

Sometime too hot the eye of heaven shines,
And often is his gold complexion dimmed;
And every fair from fair sometime declines,
By chance, or nature’s changing course, untrimmed;

But thy eternal summer shall not fade,
Nor lose possession of that fair thou owest,
Nor shall death brag thou wanderest in his shade,
When in eternal lines to time thou growest.

So long as men can breathe or eyes can see,
So long lives this, and this gives life to thee.

The argument of Sonnet 18 goes like this:

  • First quatrain: Shakespeare establishes the theme of comparing “thou” (or “you”) to a summer’s day, and why to do so is a bad idea. The metaphor is made by comparing his beloved to summer itself.

  • Second quatrain: Shakespeare extends the theme, explaining why even the sun, supposed to be so great, gets obscured sometimes, and why everything that’s beautiful decays from beauty sooner or later. He has shifted the metaphor: In the first quatrain, it was “summer” in general, and now he’s comparing the sun and “every fair,” every beautiful thing, to his beloved.

  • Third quatrain: Here the argument takes a big left turn with the familiar “But.” Shakespeare says that the main reason he won’t compare his beloved to summer is that summer dies — but she won’t. He refers to the first two quatrains — her “eternal summer” won’t fade, and she won’t “lose possession” of the “fair” (the beauty) she possesses. So, he keeps the metaphors going, but in a different direction.

    And for good measure, he throws in a negative version of all the sunshine in this poem — the “shade” of death, which, evidently, his beloved won’t have to worry about.

  • Couplet: How is his beloved going to escape death? In Shakespeare’s poetry, which will keep her alive as long as people breathe or see. This bold statement gives closure to the whole argument — it’s a surprise.

And so far, Shakespeare’s sonnet has done what he promised it would! See how tightly this sonnet is written, how complex, yet well-organized it is? Now that you know how to write a sonnet, try writing one your own!

Poets are attracted by the grace, concentration, and, yes, the sheer difficulty of sonnets. You may never write another sonnet in your life, but this exercise is more than just busywork. It does all the following:

  • Shows you how much you can pack into a short form.

  • Gives you practice with rhyme, meter, structure, metaphor, and argument.

  • Connects you with one of the oldest traditions in English poetry — one still vital today.