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NOTHING CAN BE DONE ABOUT IMMIGRATION AND HERE'S WHY

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NOTHING CAN BE DONE ABOUT IMMIGRATION AND HERE'S WHY
When states can no longer manage migration, equality, or the expectations of their own citizens.

In this article, we shall look at point 4 on  migration.

Uncontrolled immigration is not the cause of imperial decline but the symptom of a deeper sovereign exhaustion – when a state can no longer sustain its own population, enforce its own rules or align its elites with the national interest, the borders fail and the empire begins to unravel.
 
1. INTRODUCTION
 
When empires reach their late stage, the metropole still shines with wealth, but only because it has drained the periphery. And so people will move towards the light... just as that light is  beginning to fade. 
 
But uncontrolled immigration is not an isolated policy failure. It is a classic sign of late-stage empire: a state that can no longer police its frontiers, define its identity or align its elites with its population. From Rome to the Ottomans, from Britain to the US and EU today, border failure emerges precisely when institutions weaken and social cohesion fractures. It marks the passage from decline to breakdown, the final indicator that an empire has lost control of itself. 


This post is one of a series in EndOfEmpire Collapse - contrarian, evidence-based, sceptical of official narratives.

Key terms:
metropole = the imperial centre.
periphery = the regions supplying labour, resources, or taxes.
demographic fracture = a breakdown in population balance, identity and cohesion.

2. THE CORE ARGUMENT

Uncontrolled immigration is not a policy mistake. It is a universal symptom of late-stage empire decline, a sign that the centre has lost control of its borders, its identity, and the trust of its own citizens.

Across Rome, Byzantium, Habsburg Spain, the Ottomans, Britain and today’s West, border failure appears exactly when institutions are exhausted and social cohesion cracks.
It marks the passage from decline to breakdown.

3. DEMOGRAPHIC FRACTURE: THE FINAL INTERNAL UNRAVELLING

3.1 Population Out of Balance

  • Ageing societies.

  • Falling birth rates.

  • Labour shortages.

  • Rising dependency ratios.
    These create pressure for low-cost migrant labour before the state is ready to absorb it.

3.2 Social Dislocation

  • Too few workers supporting too many dependants.

  • Inequality deepens.

  • Elites retreat into wealth bubbles and delusional imaginings
    King-Canutian thinking without the humility. 

  • Ordinary citizens feel abandoned or deceived.

3.3 Institutional Retrenchment
When the state loses border control, it turns inward:

  • policing speech,

  • controlling narratives,

  • projecting ideology instead of capacity.

This is not a snap collapse, it is the slow unravelling of any shared purpose.


4. THE EMPIRE CYCLE

Every empire since the Romans and probably before have followed the same macro-sequence:

dominance → overextension → deficit spending → currency debasement → inflation → loss of confidence → collapse

No empire escapes the brutal maths:

  • You cannot spend more than you earn.

  • You cannot print prosperity.

  • You cannot debase your currency without debasing your power.

Immigration breakdown is one dimension of this same decline process, alongside debt overload, money-printing, and the flight to hard assets.

"Debase" is to dilute or lower the quality of the currency by cutting the gold or silver content with base metals.

5. WHY LATE-STAGE EMPIRES EXPERIENCE UNCONTROLLED IMMIGRATION

5.1 The Gravitational Pull of the Metropole
Even in decline, the imperial centre remains richer, safer and more functional than its surrounding regions.
People from the periphery - impoverished by war, extraction, and collapsing trade - move towards the metropole’s remaining prosperity.

5.2 Extraction and Return Migration
Empires strip the periphery of value: minerals, labour, energy, crops, taxes, artworks, profits.
Over time this hollows out vassal economies, causing outward flows of people seeking opportunity, welfare or protection (from warlords, authority has already collapsed) at the centre.

The metropole drains the periphery economically, then goes on to absorb its people demographically.

5.3 The Labour Needs of a Declining Core
Decline creates:

  • shortages of domestic workers at affordable wages,

  • stagnant productivity as debt, interest and financials overtake production,

  • rising fiscal costs.
    Cheap migrant labour becomes a political necessity to sustain consumption and inflate GDP figures (even as GDP per capita stagnates).

5.4 Diverging Interests

  • Elites benefit: cheaper labour, ideological signalling, political blocs.

  • Ordinary citizens bear the costs: lower wages (inflation & purchasing power), weaker services, cultural disruption and conflicts.

When the centre can no longer align its elites with its population, when it doesn't know who it is or who it represents, border control collapses by default... there is nothing you can do about this and there is no reason to "get emotional" about it, it is just a fact of life.

5.5 Nothing Stops Immigration Except Imperial Collapse
This is the harsh historical reality:
Immigration stops only when the metropole itself becomes poor, unstable or unattractive enough for migrants to leave. Migrants were never much interested in the metropole, the indigenous core people (eg The Etruscians of Rome) has probably already fled, the migrants just move on and won't be missed.

6. THE HISTORICAL PATTERN

6.1 Rome (3rd–5th centuries)
Migrating populations crossed the Rhine and Danube as Rome lost cohesion.

6.2 Byzantium (11th–15th centuries)
Turkish tribal migration into Anatolia overwhelmed weakened institutions.

6.3 Habsburg Spain (17th century)
Demographic decline + foreign labour reshaped social structure.

6.4 Ottoman Empire (19th century)
Continuous Balkan/Caucasus inflows during administrative exhaustion.

6.5 British Empire (1945–1970)
Post-war economic decline, Suez + rapid immigration → deep political fracture.

6.6 United States & Western Europe (2000s–present)
Sub-Saharan > Mediterranean > European (Italy, Greece...) flows, US southern border crisis, and EU overload - all these challenges, coming at a time of institutional paralysis (eg Chancellor Mertz of Germany complaining that Hungary's Orban has "no EU mandate to talk to Putin".

The rule:
When an empire loses control at the centre, it loses control at the edges.

7. STRUCTURAL REASONS (WHY IT ALWAYS HAPPENS)

7.1 Administrative Exhaustion
Border systems fail when institutions lose discipline and capacity.

7.2 Economic Distortion
Elites need cheap labour; declining productivity and labour-force encourage open-door incentives.

7.3 Moral Disarmament
Declining societies lose confidence in their identity and are unable to define membership (who belongs and who doesn't).

7.4 Elite-Mass Divergence
Winners: the elite and corporate sectors.
Losers: native workers, public services, social cohesion.

7.5 Global Turbulence
Wars, climate stress, and collapsing regions send waves of migration towards wealthy, declining empires.

8. CONSEQUENCES FOR WELFARE, WAGES, INFLATION AND GROWTH

8.1 Welfare Strain

  • UK: 8 million “economically inactive” adults (16–64).

  • One-third entirely off-grid altogether.

  • Two-thirds on benefits.

  • Health-related claimants up from 2.5m (2019) to 3.5m (2024).

  • Fiscal cost: £35 - 40bn per year, rising 10% annually (DWP 2024).

8.2 Wage Pressures
A reduced domestic workforce pushes wages up, but not productivity, thus fuelling inflation and a wage-spiral.

8.3 Service Overload
Healthcare, housing and education systems absorb the pressures of population growth without there being any or little matching infrastructure expansion.

8.4 Drag on Growth
Debt and printing expands to fill the holes in the unproductive side of the economy. Labour shortages + welfare and interest costs + low investment and productivity, act as a brake on expansion.

This is the three-sided trap of late empires:
high welfare, low capacity, rising immigration.

9. SUMMARY

Uncontrolled immigration is not the cause of imperial decline - it is the symptom of a deeper sovereign malaise: demographic aging, social fracture, administrative exhaustion and loss of national confidence. From Rome to Britain to the contemporary West, border failure begins when the state can no longer sustain its own population, enforce its own rules or align its elites with the public ("national") interest. As the metropole hollows out economically and morally, it pulls in labour from the periphery, even as it loses cohesion at home. Nothing stops the flow except the eventual collapse of the imperial system itself.

10. REFERENCES & LINKS


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