See the post describing Collapse
You really cant make this stuff up. Strategic planning? Bring back Ronald Reagan! And he told the best jokes.
Indeed you cannot make this stuff up and it's the delusional character of Western thinking....but where does this come from?
If you've read Mackinder, you'll see why being the global hegemon is so because you answer to no one unlike everyone else who answers to you and this power means you set the rules for others to follow rules which work to your advantage.
But in this piece we will consider that this single-minded obsession with hegemony, globalisation and free money (from the dollar's reserve status) is delusional because illusory and unsustainable ie unreal and unstable. Reality is real efforts not a financial reality is gold rather than fiat currency. So the idea of investing is to build up real assets rather than paper.
What is going to change over time, is that these hegemonic ideas will come to be seen by most people as delusional and reckless as the real idea is to build up your physical assets because paper financial fiat assets do not last. Consider the following:
- If Russia is a threat, balance of power and security arrangements and cooperation over global issues are the best way to deal with it, not through expansionism
- you cannot just barge into countries and steal the resources
- people will lend you money if they can be assured that it won't be devalued and it will be repaid in full
- success comes from innovation, production and export - not from borrowing and consumption
- investors will move from speculation back to production and essentials (energy, food, defence)
- diplomacy and cooperation will trump military and conflict
- a successful economy is the start and so Western Europe must join up with Russia for its resources and china for its technology and get market share
- the people are the final arbiters and they want stability protection and prosperity - PEACE - they are not interested in ideology gambling and war
- those who want local and sovereign will triumph over those who want global and authoritarian
- I do think equality will prevail over apartheid, and genocide will send a state to hell (literally to hell, to Armageddon, as genocide is suicide and sends a state and its people to hell).
From what I've read and understood over the last two or three years, this is what I think is going to happen - this prognosis is basically all those debt cycles and End-of-Empire stories retold in a Fourth Turning kind of way.
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Keep it clean, keep it lean