Tuesday, 30 September 2025

UKRAINE - WHY THE WEST CANNOT WALK AWAY

30 September 2025

- Why The West Cannot Stop Fighting the War in Ukraine 
- Why the West has No Reverse Gear 
- Why the only option is to Double Down On Failure.

Here are six fundamental reasons.

1. Liquidity Pipeline – European privatisations and savings poured into U.S. equity markets from the privatisations of the 1990s and early 2000s. That capital, recycled through Wall Street and shadow banking, demands returns from Eastern Europe, especially Ukraine. The banks want their pound of flesh.

 2002 Germany: Schröder’s tax reform let firms sell cross-holdings tax-free, releasing billions for investment into U.S. dollars in stocks and bonds.

 France (1990s–2000s): Privatisations of France Télécom, Air France and Renault freed more capital, that flowed to Wall Street.

 Italy (Prodi–Berlusconi era): Sales of ENI, Telecom Italia and Autostrade drove Italian savings, this time, into U.S. Treasuries.

 Post-2008 GFC: Europe’s tighter bank rules pushed investment out of this regulated sector and into U.S. hedge funds and private equity - the “shadow-banking” boom, as it's called.
Reason 1 : - Finance demands a return on investment

2. Productivity Crisis – Falling productivity these last 40 years across the West pressures profits. Access to cheap resources, labour, and new markets is vital. Russia blocks this. War becomes a way to prise open frontiers of profit.

Lower productivity → thinner margins → pressure to cut costs and find new revenue streams. That pressure expresses itself in four ways:

• Reducing input costs (energy, minerals, resources)
• Reducing labour costs (off-shoring, precarious work, gig economy, WFH, wage stagnation)
• Rationalising production (Six Sigma, automation, AI)
• Opening new sales markets.


Reason 2 : - Restore profitability to stave off a crisis of capitalism

3. Digital Capitalism – Tech and defence firms thrive on dual-use (military / civilian) innovations: AI, satellites, surveillance. For them, a “forever war” means a forever revenue stream, regardless of who's winning on the ground. This is a big source of revenues for the donor class.

Examples:

Amazon AWS & Microsoft Azure host Pentagon and CIA data.
Google builds AI for drone targeting.
• Palantir sells battlefield analytics to Ukraine.
SpaceX Starlink provides frontline ISR communications under Pentagon funding
Buying up influencers and their social media platforms - eg twitter, tiktok - and correcting the algorithms to support the sponsor class and obtain future leaders' alignment.


This “digital war machine” thrives on ongoing conflict, it doesn’t really need victory, indeed victory may end its revenue streams. For venture capitalists and contractors, a forever war is a forever market. Whether Ukraine wins or loses matters less than the continuation of DoD contracts, subsidies, and data monopolies.


Reason 3 : - A forever war means a forever revenue stream for Big Tech

4. Avoiding Failure in Europe – Sanctions have backfired, confiscations only further reduce credibility, leaving Europe weaker, indebted, and angry. Ending the war now would expose elite mismanagement and the continued existence of the EU; war keeps the parties united against a common enemy.

 What values or morals do our elite leaders really have? Don't they align with Washington to further their interests and power rather than represent the people who elected them?

 Just consider what has happened to the democratic process or how the people's freedoms are increasingly frustrated. 

 Continuation of the war postpones the eventual day of  reckoning for these people.... who or how can we stop this killing which profits the few at the top?

Reason 4 : - To stop now would mean bringing the culprits to Justice - how to do this?

5. The EndgameVictory for the West against Russia would pin Russia in place geopolitically, secure Ukraine’s resources for central bank balance sheets, and free America to pivot to China. Defeat risks NATO’s collapse, euro / EU instability and implosion, and even escalation to World War Three, never mind the power, futures and wealth of existing elites.


Reason 5 : - Victory would deliver geopolitical defeat over Russia and open up access to Ukraine's resources. Defeat would be a defeat of The West, its credibility and institutions.

Here is an expanded paragraph in your style — same tone, same cadence — with sharper emphasis on soft-power perks, lifestyle privileges, and the personal incentives that bind the EU–Atlantic elite to the system:


6. Fingers in Pie Europe’s elite defend Ukraine not out of principle or moral rectitude, but because their own privileges, perks and soft-power networks depend on keeping the system alive.

Behind all this economic and corporate interest sits the soft-power ecosystem that keeps the whole elite structure obedient and aligned. 

The top brass who run the EU and its satellite institutions enjoy a lifestyle that depends on never rocking the boat: children in international schools with fees "absorbed"; endless “conferences” in Davos, Brussels, Singapore, Dubai - week-long holidays disguised as policy forums; salaries, working week and pensions that no normal European could ever dream of; diplomatic immunities, expense allowances and tax exemptions that insulate them from the economic pain they inflict on others. 

This is the real glue of the system, the comfortable capture of a managerial class - maybe two or three million members of the elite, banking and corporate governance, government, MSM - whose personal incentives are perfectly aligned with Washington, global finance and the shadow-banking world. 

Once you see how these perks function as a form of soft coercion, you understand why none of these people will ever argue for peace, restraint, sovereignty or strategic independence. Their lives depend on the opposite.

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Some further light reading

European economic collapse and democratic despotism with Glen Diesen and Alex Krainer.


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