Thursday, 29 May 2025

IS TRUMP MISSING THE BOAT

29 May 2025

Is Trump Missing the Boat?

1. European Strategy: War as a Hedge Against Trump

Former diplomat Alastair Crooke argues that European elites are not just waging war on Russia, they're trying to derail Donald Trump's economic programme.

European leaders fear Trump's economic programme could devastate Europe's competitiveness, markets and innovation initiatives.

By intensifying the war in Ukraine, they aim to trap the U.S. in a confrontation with Russia, weakening Trump's effort to pivot to Asia.

Crooke sees this as a desperate attempt by Anglo-Zionist elites to keep Trump boxed in. 

2. The Russian Mood: No Turning Back

In St. Petersburg, long known as Russia's liberal face to the West, Crooke found a population unified in anger.

Russians across the board, including former Westernisers, now support the war as existential.

Years of anti-Russian rhetoric, cultural demonisation, and economic sanctions have hardened attitudes.

Russians now believe that unless they fight this war to a final and conclusive end by resolving the root causes of the conflict, another Western attack is, using another proxie, inevitable. 

3. Putin's Calculations and Trump’s Weakness

Putin plays at negotiation, says Crooke, to satify world / American public opinion and reassure allies like China and Iran.

Trump, once seen as a wildcard with potential for a reset, has turned out a disappointment.

Russians view his transactional style as crass and disrespectful: offering ceasefires in exchange for territory isn't peace, it's horse-trading.

Worse, Trump's inconsistency shows weakness. Russians now believe he lacks the command to follow through on his own words. 

4. Intelligence Realities: The CIA's War

Crooke reminds us the CIA is running the war. Biden signed an "executive order" giving the agency authority to direct strikes inside Russia.

Trump could rescind this, but hasn't. That makes him complicit, or at least politically impotent.

Even Republican senators like Marco Rubio are deflecting blame, pretending sanctions are out of Trump’s hands.

The Kremlin reads this as theatre. They no longer believe Washington is serious about peace. 

5. Endgame: Destabilise Trump, Box in Russia

Crooke concludes: Europe can't start a full-scale war, but it can escalate tensions.

The goal? Push Trump to act against Russia, undermine him, and preserve the post-1990s order.

Meanwhile, Russia and Iran now share rhe same point of view: Trump is unreliable, and the U.S. is in strategic disarray, unable to execute.

If America wants peace, it must rediscover consistency and credible leadership. Right now, says Crooke, it's lost both.

Background reference

https://youtu.be/4bn943sPgI0?si=gAsXsLK8IJsDZcTt

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